As we gear up for 2025, real estate experts are buzzing with optimism about what the future holds. In a recent event held in Boston, Lawrence Yun, the Chief Economist of the National Association of Realtors, shared some promising insights that could reshape the housing landscape.
One of the key takeaways from Yun’s talk was the historical trend of home sales picking up after presidential elections. “We’ve seen after presidential elections—and it doesn’t matter who wins—that there’s usually a slight boost in home sales,” Yun explained. This phenomenon occurs because the uncertainties surrounding policies are cleared up, allowing potential buyers to make informed decisions. With this in mind, Yun predicts a year-over-year increase of 9% in existing home sales and an 11% jump in new home sales come 2025!
But what about the skyrocketing prices? Good news! Yun also forecasted a slowdown in the increase of homeownership costs as more inventory enters the market. “The strong price increases cannot be sustainable for another five years, or America will be divided … with only a few getting to experience the tremendous housing wealth,” he warned. The solution? Increasing supply! “If we bring more supply to the housing market, home price increases will not be as outrageous … and will be more in line with wages,” he added. Sounds fair, right?
Diving deeper, Jessica Lautz, NAR’s Deputy Chief Economist, revealed fascinating demographics about homebuyers. Did you know that the median age of a first-time homebuyer is now 38? That’s the highest it’s ever been! Plus, a significant 17% of households are multigenerational—meaning adult children and aging parents are teaming up to manage the costs of homeownership. How cool is that?
Interestingly, Lautz also noted that 26% of home sales were all-cash transactions. Many previous homeowners have successfully leveraged the equity gained from booming housing prices, allowing them to skip the mortgage process entirely. It’s a savvy move in today’s market!
As we look to the future, there are some potential bumps in the road. One hot topic is the possible repercussions of Donald Trump’s proposed mass deportation programs and how they might affect the construction industry. According to Nan Wu from the American Immigration Council, approximately 14% of construction workers in the U.S. are undocumented. Removing such a significant portion of the workforce could lead to increased costs and delayed projects—and nobody wants that!
Chad Prinkey, a CEO in construction consulting, pointed out the complexities of the situation, saying, “There will be incredible delays; the average 18-month project could take five years to complete because there are so few bodies.” Sound daunting, doesn’t it? But he also expressed skepticism about whether mass deportation would actually go through, citing the “crippling economic impact” it could have.
Now, let’s bring it back home to Huntsville! The Huntsville Area Association of Realtors (HAAR) recently released its market report for the first week of November. According to the data, the local real estate scene is a bit mixed. While single-family homes saw a whopping 27.7% increase in inventory, the inventory for townhouses surged by an amazing 107.3%!
On the sales side, pending sales for single-family homes climbed by 23.7%, while sales of townhouse/condo units took a downturn, dropping by 41.7%. Additionally, new listings for single-family homes dipped by 9.5%, but townhouse/condo listings skyrocketed by a flat 200%! That’s a lot of movement!
As we keep an eye on national trends and our local market, the real estate sector shows signs of life, albeit with some challenges looming on the horizon. The Huntsville Business Journal is committed to keeping you updated with the latest news in real estate, locally and beyond. So, stay tuned!
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